H2O.ai Case Studies Solving Customer Churn with Machine Learning
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Solving Customer Churn with Machine Learning

H2O.ai
Analytics & Modeling - Machine Learning
Analytics & Modeling - Predictive Analytics
Finance & Insurance
Sales & Marketing
Predictive Maintenance
Data Science Services
Paypal, a global payments platform, was facing a significant challenge with customer churn. The company's previous approach to identifying churn was based on specific time increments, marking a customer as churned if they hadn't used the platform within that period. However, this method was not fully accurate and impacted the effectiveness of Paypal's marketing efforts to win back customers. The company needed a more precise way to predict if and when a customer would churn and the reasons behind it. This information was crucial for the operational teams to develop new programs aimed at customer retention.
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Paypal is a global payments platform operating in 203 markets. The company has 173 million active customer accounts and processed 4 billion payments in 2014. Paypal's revenue is primarily derived from service fees as a percentage of payments made through its platform. Therefore, the number of active customers directly impacts the company's revenue. Customer churn is a critical business metric for Paypal, and the company has been working to minimize churn through various marketing and product development programs.
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Paypal's Senior Data Scientist, Julian Bharadwaj, and his team developed a predictive model using H2O's powerful predictive modeling and machine learning capabilities. The team used transaction and behavioral variables as well as demographic data for customers who had churned. The models could be modified across multiple parameters and run multiple times very quickly, ensuring the validity of the output. Paypal now uses H2O on Hadoop to run a predictive modeling factory - large-scale, rapid modeling - that helps the company run more sophisticated and effective marketing programs to reduce churn.
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Improved churn metrics and accuracy of information delivered to both executive and operational teams.
Increased speed at which models could be run, giving teams immediately actionable data.
Created more sophisticated and effective programs to reduce churn built around the output of the H2O machine learning algorithms.
Reduced modeling time from 6-7 hours to less than 30 minutes.
Reduced scoring time on the entire customer base from 72 hours to significantly less.
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